Now that the LA Film Critics, the Boston Film Critics, AFI have, the Golden Globe nominations, the SAG Nominations have been announced let’s see how the Oscar race has changed.
The LA Film Critics has had a track record of going its own
way with Best Picture and it doesn’t usually line up with the Oscars but their
acting picks are good indications of were the buzz is going. And since the actors are the biggest voting
branch for the Oscars their selections of the SAG awards are an important
indicator and The Butler gets the biggest bump because of that. AFI lists 10 movies in no particular order
and no big surprises it’s pretty much the same 10 movies everyone has already
been talking about. The Golden Globe Nominations
with their splitting of categories between Drama and Comedy make it hard for any
movie to really gain momentum but the lack of nominations for Saving Mr. Banks
might hurt it a bit. Also this year
their decisions on what is a drama and comedy seem a bit odd. Anyway here are my predictions and the
actually winners are listed below.
Best Picture
Very Likely Nominations
12 Years a Slave-Still
my pick to win it all.
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
American Hustle-getting some
backlash already so but still likely to get a nom.
Her-Added this to the likely nomination because it is
getting a lot of praise. Not sure if it
can pull out a win though.
Probable Nomination
Nebraska
The Wolf of Wall Street
Saving Mr. Banks
Captain Phillips
Fruitvale Station
Long Shot
Philomena
The Butler
Blue is the Warmest Color
All is Lost-Despite everyone loving it seems not likely to get
a nomination but definitely an acting nomination and possibly a screenwriting.
Best Director
Very Likely Nomination
Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave)
Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity)
The Coen Brothers (Inside Llewyn Davis)
Possible Nomination
Martin Scorsese (The Wolf of Wall
Street)
David O. Russell (American Hustle)
John Lee Hancock (Saving Mr. Banks)
Paul Greengrass (Captain Phillips)
Long Shots
Spike Jonze (Her)
Lee Daniels (The Butler)
Best Actor
Likely Nominations
Robert Redford (All is Lost)
Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)
Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers
Club)
Possible Nominations-with those 4 almost guaranteed
a nomination hard to say who the 5th spot will go to.
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall
Street)
Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips)
Oscar Issacs (Inside Llewyn Davis)
Michael B. Jordan (Fruitvale Station)
Long Shot
Forrest Whitiker (The Butler)
Christian Bale (American Hustle)
Best Actress
Likely Nominations
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Emma Thompsons (Saving Mr. Banks)
Possible Nominations
Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
Judi Dench (Philomena)
Amy Adams (American Hustle)
Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)
Long Shots
Brie Larson (Short Term 12)
Best Supporting Actor
Likely Nominations
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks)
Possible Nominations
Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
Long Shot
James Franco (Spring
Breakers)
James Gandolfini (Enough Said)-he is gaining momentum but still don’t see
it happening.
Daniel Bruhl (Rush)
Best Supporting Actress-
Likely Nominations
Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave)
Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
Octavia Spencer (Fruitvale Station)
Possible Nominations
June Squibb (Nebraska)
Oprah Winfrey (The Butler)
Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
Long Shot
Scarlett Johansson (Her)
Best Original Screenplay
Likely Nominations
The Coen Brothers (Inside Llewyn Davis)
Sue Smith and Kelly Marcel (Saving Mr.
Banks)
Woody Allen (Blue Jasmine)
Probable Nominations
Alexander Payne (Nebraska)
Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity)
Eric Singer and David O. Russell (American
Hustle)
Long Shots
J.C. Chandor (All is Lost)
Nicole Holofcener (Enough Said)
Best Adapted Screenplay
Likely Nominations
Terence Winter (Wolf of Wall Street)
John Ridley (12 Years a Slave)
Billy Ray (Captain Phillips)
Probable Nominations
Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, and Ethan Hawke (Before
Midnight)
Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope (Philomena)
Tracy Letts (August: Osage County)
Long Shots
Steve Conrad (The Secret Life of
Walter Mitty)
Best Foreign Film
Likely
Nominations
Blue is the Warmest Color -The only movie right now that is a lock
for Best Foreign Film
Probably Nominations
The Past
The Great Beauty
Best Animated Feature
Likely Nominations
The Wind Rises
Frozen
Probable Nominations
The Croods
Despicable Me 2
Monsters University
Best Documentary
Likely
Nominations
The Act of Killing
Stories We Tell
Probable Nominations
Blackfish
The Square
LA Film Critics
Film:
Tie, Gravity and Her
Director:
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity (Runner-up: Spike Jonze, Her.)
Actor:
Bruce Dern, Nebraska (Runner-up: Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years
a Slave.)
Actress:
Tie, Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine, and Adèle Exarchopoulos,
Blue Is the Warmest Color.
Documentary:
Stories We Tell (Runner-up: The Act of Killing.)
Supporting actress:
Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave (Runner-up: June Squibb,
Nebraska.)
Supporting actor:
Tie, James Franco, Spring Breakers, and Jared Leto, Dallas
Buyers Club.
Screenplay:
Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke, Before
Midnight (Runner Up: Spike Jonze, Her)
Animation:
Ernest & Celestine (Runner-up: The Wind Rises.)
Cinematography:
Emmanuel Lubezki, Gravity. (Runner-up, Bruno Delbonnel,
Inside Llewyn Davis.)
Film Editing:
Alfonso Cuarón and Mark Sanger, Gravity. (Runner-up: Shane
Carruth andDavid Lowery, Upstream Color.)
Score:
T Bone Burnett, Inside Llewyn Davis (Runner-up: Arcade Fire
and Owen Pallett, Her.)
Production design:
K.K. Barrett, Her. (Runner-up: Jess Gonchor, Inside Llewyn
Davis.)
Foreign-language film:
Blue Is the Warmest Color. (Runner-up: The Great Beauty.)
Boston Film Critics
Best Picture
12 Years a Slave
Best Actor
Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave
Best Actress
Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Best Supporting Actor
James Gandolfini for
Enough Said
Best Supporting Actress
June Squibb for Nebraska
Best Director
Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
Best Screenplay
Nicole Holofcener for Enough Said
Best Cinematography
Emmanuel Lubezki for Gravity
Best Documentary
The Act of Killing
Best Foreign-Language Film
Wadjda
Best Animated Film
The Wind Rises
Best Film Editing (awarded in memory of Karen Schmeer)
Daniel P. Hanley and Mike Hill for Rush
Best New Filmmaker (awarded in memory of David Brudnoy)
-
Ryan Coogler for Fruitvale Station
Best Ensemble Cast
Nebraska
Best Use of Music in a Film
Inside Llewyn Davis
AFI
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Fruitvale Station
Gravity
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
Saving Mr. Banks
The Wolf of Wall Street
SAG AWARDS NOMINATIONS
THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES
Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Dallas Buyers Club
Lee Daniels' The Butler
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)
Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips)
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)
Forest Whitaker (Lee Daniels' The Butler)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
Judi Dench (Philomena)
Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)
Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
Daniel Bruhl (Rush)
Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
James Gandolfini (Enough Said)
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting
Role
Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave)
Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
June Squibb (Nebraska)
Oprah Winfrey (Lee Daniels' The Butler)
Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a
Motion Picture
All is Lost
Fast & Furious 6
Lone Survivor
Rush
The Wolverine
GOLDEN GLOBE
NOMINATIONS
Best Motion Picture -
Drama
"12 Years a Slave"
"Captain Phillips"
"Gravity"
"Philomena"
"Rush"
Best Motion Picture -
Comedy or Musical
"American Hustle"
"Her"
"Inside Llewyn Davis"
"Nebraska"
"The Wolf of Wall Street"
Best Performance by
an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama
Cate Blanchett, "Blue Jasmine"
Sandra Bullock, "Gravity"
Judi Dench, "Philomena"
Emma Thompson, "Saving Mr. Banks"
Kate Winslet, "Labor Day"
Best Performance by
an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
Chiwetel Ejiofor, "12 Years A Slave"
Idris Elba, "Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom"
Tom Hanks, "Captain Phillips"
Matthew McConaughey, "Dallas Buyers Club"
Robert Redford, "All Is Lost"
Best Performance by
an Actress in a Motion Picture - Comedy or Musical
Amy Adams, "American Hustle"
Julie Delpy, "Before Midnight"
Greta Gerwig, "Frances Ha"
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, "Enough Said"
Meryl Streep, "August: Osage County"
Best Performance by
an Actor in a Motion Picture - Comedy or Musical
Christian Bale, "American Hustle"
Bruce Dern, "Nebraska"
Leonardo DiCaprio, "The Wolf of Wall Street"
Oscar Isaac, "Inside Llewyn Davis"
Joaquin Phoenix, "Her"
Best Performance by
an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Sally Hawkins, "Blue Jasmine"
Jennifer Lawrence, "American Hustle"
Lupita Nyong'o, "12 Years A Slave"
Julia Roberts, "August: Osage County"
June Squibb, "Nebraska"
Best Performance by
an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Barkhad Abdi, "Captain Phillips"
Daniel Bruhl, "Rush"
Bradley Cooper, "American Hustle"
Michael Fassbender, "12 Years A Slave"
Jared Leto, "Dallas Buyers Club"
Best Director
Alfonso Cuaron, "Gravity"
Paul Greengrass, "Captain Phillips"
Steve McQueen, "12 Years A Slave"
Alexander Payne, "Nebraska"
David O. Russell, "American Hustle"
Best Screenplay
Spike Jonze, "Her"
Bob Nelson, "Nebraska"
Jeff Pope and Steve Coogan, "Philomena"
John Ridley, "12 Years a Slave"
David O. Russell, "American Hustle"
Best Animated Film
"The Croods"
"Despicable Me 2"
"Frozen"
Best Original Score -
Motion Picture
"All Is Lost"
"Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom"
"Gravity"
"The Book Thief"
"12 Years a Slave"
Best Original Song -
Motion Picture
"Atlas," Coldplay ("The Hunger Games:
Catching Fire")
"Let It Go," Idina Menzel ("Frozen")
"Ordinary Love," U2 ("Mandela: Long Walk to
Freedom")
"Please Mr. Kennedy," Oscar Isaac, Justin
Timberlake and Adam Driver ("Inside Llewyn Davis")
"Sweet Than Fiction," Taylor Swift ("One
Chance")
Best Foreign Language
Film
"Blue Is The Warmest Color" (France)
"The Great Beauty" (Italy)
"The Hunt" (Denmark)
"The Past" (Iran)
"The Wind Rises" (Japan)